Society MT-2
Mental health & cognitive load Mental health becomes a pillar of social performance. Hyperconnection, uncertainty and urbanity are creating a lasting attentional debt. Organizations and schools are integrating emotional and cognitive metrics. Demand for hybrid care and prevention pathways explodes. Tension: institutional benevolence vs. hyper-productivity economy.
Index 4.75 Impact: 5 Diffusion: 5 Novelty: 4
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Mid-term — impact within 3–7 years Health Education HR
Tech & Data MT-26
Systemic cybersecurity & identity resilience The attack surface expands with AI, edge and IoT. Identity becomes the first security frontier. Organizations move to 'zero-trust' architectures and proactive risk management. Tension: usage frictions vs. strong protection.
Index 4.50 Impact: 5 Diffusion: 5 Novelty: 3
Maturity: Established — widely recognized, integrated into mainstream Horizon: Short-term — impact within 1–3 years Finance Health Industry
Environment MT-49
Green finance & impact transparency Finance becomes the architect of transitions. Taxonomies, disclosures and stress tests guide capital and risk. Transparency extends from projects to portfolios and consumer products. Tension: methodological integrity vs. greenwashing.
Index 4.50 Impact: 5 Diffusion: 5 Novelty: 3
Maturity: Established — widely recognized, integrated into mainstream Horizon: Mid-term — impact within 3–7 years Finance Insurance Real estate
Geopolitics MT-58
Multipolarity & geopolitical realignments The international system is becoming polycentric: variable coalitions, regional economic blocs and interest-based diplomacy. Rules are fragmenting (trade, data, technical standards). Value chains adapt through redundancy and regionalization. Tension: global openness vs. strategic security.
Index 4.50 Impact: 5 Diffusion: 5 Novelty: 3
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Long-term — impact beyond 7 years Energy Industry Tech
Geopolitics MT-61
Geopolitical cybersecurity & hybrid threats Attacks combine cyber, informational and physical elements. Value chains, energies and institutions are targets. Public-private cooperation intensifies for detection, response and attribution. Tension: information sharing vs. sovereign secrecy.
Index 4.50 Impact: 5 Diffusion: 5 Novelty: 3
Maturity: Established — widely recognized, integrated into mainstream Horizon: Short-term — impact within 1–3 years Energy Finance Public sector
Society MT-8
Work transformation & attentional capital Automation, hybrid work and AI are reshaping tasks, skills and the meaning of work. Attention is becoming a rare and strategic resource. Organizations are moving towards continuous learning and the measurement of cognitive quality. Tension: digital intensification vs. quality of life.
Index 4.40 Impact: 5 Diffusion: 4 Novelty: 4
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Short-term — impact within 1–3 years Services Tech Finance
Society MT-9
Preventive health & self-quantification Sensors, digital biology and personal twins are transforming prevention. From 'cure' to 'care', value is shifting towards early detection and adherence. The ethics of sensitive data become central. Tension: health empowerment vs. surveillance.
Index 4.40 Impact: 5 Diffusion: 4 Novelty: 4
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Mid-term — impact within 3–7 years Health Insurance Sport
Tech & Data MT-21
AI everywhere: co-pilots & autonomous agents Co-pilots and agents orchestrate multi-stage action chains, connected to business systems. Value shifts from model performance to integration, security and observability. Organizations are moving from 'proof-of-concept' to 'reliable production', with MLOps, continuous assessment and risk governance. Tension: speed of deployment vs. quality, security and compliance.
Index 4.40 Impact: 5 Diffusion: 4 Novelty: 4
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Short-term — impact within 1–3 years Software Services Banking
Tech & Data MT-24
Algorithmic governance & computational ethics The supervision of AI systems is becoming an issue of public trust. Bias, safety, explicability and responsibility must be addressed by design and proof. Reference systems are becoming more standardized, and human supervision is becoming more formalized. Tension: rapid innovation vs. regulatory caution.
Index 4.40 Impact: 5 Diffusion: 4 Novelty: 4
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Short-term — impact within 1–3 years Finance Health Public sector
Infrastructure MT-31
Electrification & distributed energy systems The electrification of applications and the decentralization of production are transforming networks and markets. Micro-grids, self-consumption and vehicle-to-grid are rebalancing supply and demand as close as possible to usage. Flexibility is becoming as critical a resource as capacity. Tension: massive investment vs. local acceptance.
Index 4.40 Impact: 5 Diffusion: 4 Novelty: 4
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Long-term — impact beyond 7 years Energy Mobility Real estate
Infrastructure MT-33
Integrated mobility & intermodal ecosystems Mobility moves from objects to systems: real-time integration, unified pricing, shared services, progressive autonomy. Vehicles become energy and data nodes. Tension: individual comfort vs. collective efficiency.
Index 4.40 Impact: 5 Diffusion: 4 Novelty: 4
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Mid-term — impact within 3–7 years Mobility Energy Cities
Environment MT-41
Biodiversity & nature-positive The erosion of living things directly threatens food security, health and the real economy. Nature-positive' approaches shift the strategy from damage avoidance to net nature creation. Ecosystem accounting, restoration and biological corridors are becoming pillars of capital allocation. Tension: short-term profitability vs. long-term regeneration.
Index 4.40 Impact: 5 Diffusion: 4 Novelty: 4
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Long-term — impact beyond 7 years Agro Forestry Real estate
Culture MT-51
Information polarization & narrative trust Fragmented media systems amplify bubbles and controversies. Trust is becoming a scarce resource, conditioning attention and legitimacy. Provenance standards (C2PA) and new proof formats are emerging. Tension: freedom of expression vs. informational integrity.
Index 4.40 Impact: 5 Diffusion: 4 Novelty: 4
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Short-term — impact within 1–3 years Media Platforms Public
Geopolitics MT-60
Critical materials & security of supply The energy transition is increasing dependence on rare metals and materials. Exploration, advanced recycling and substitution are becoming strategic. Regional alliances structure access and local processing. Tension: speed of transition vs. mining and social constraints.
Index 4.40 Impact: 5 Diffusion: 4 Novelty: 4
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Long-term — impact beyond 7 years Energy Automotive Electronics
Society MT-10
Adaptive education & tomorrow's skills Technological and ecological transitions call for a renewal of skills. Education is moving from the accumulation of knowledge to the ability to learn continuously. Personalization, real-life projects and hybridization of formats are essential. Tension: equity of access vs. acceleration of elites.
Index 4.30 Impact: 5 Diffusion: 3 Novelty: 5
Maturity: Emerging — early signals, not yet widely adopted Horizon: Long-term — impact beyond 7 years Education Business Public authorities
Environment MT-43
Regenerative economics & life accounting Regeneration replaces simple footprint reduction. Extended accounting (multi-capital) and robust MRV anchor strategy in ecological and social outcomes. Value redefined by net contribution to systems. Tension: measurement complexity vs. mass adoption.
Index 4.30 Impact: 5 Diffusion: 3 Novelty: 5
Maturity: Emerging — early signals, not yet widely adopted Horizon: Long-term — impact beyond 7 years Finance Agro Industry
Geopolitics MT-59
Chain sovereignty & dual sourcing Reliability is becoming a key criterion for supply chains. China+1", "friend-shoring" and "near-shoring" strategies generalize the selective duplication of critical links. Contracts evolve towards continuity and transparency clauses. Tension: short-term cost vs. long-term resilience.
Index 4.25 Impact: 5 Diffusion: 5 Novelty: 2
Maturity: Established — widely recognized, integrated into mainstream Horizon: Mid-term — impact within 3–7 years Industry Healthcare Electronics
Society MT-1
Longer life & Silver Economy Demographic ageing is transforming social and economic balances. Longevity is becoming a collective asset, requiring new models of autonomy, housing and care. Prevention, cognition and gentle mobility are redefining good living at all ages. The boundaries between care, pleasure and independence are blurring in favor of a continuum of services. Tension: universal inclusion vs. commoditization of old age.
Index 4.15 Impact: 5 Diffusion: 4 Novelty: 3
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Long-term — impact beyond 7 years Health Insurance Real estate
Tech & Data MT-22
Sovereign data & trusted cloud Data localization, portability and control are becoming strategic. Multi-region architectures and sovereignty clauses structure cloud choices. Compliance becomes a competitive advantage for players able to prove the integrity of data processing. Tension: global agility vs. local sovereignty requirements.
Index 4.15 Impact: 5 Diffusion: 4 Novelty: 3
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Mid-term — impact within 3–7 years Health Finance Public sector
Infrastructure MT-32
Resilient cities & climate planning Climate adaptation reconfigures urban planning: cool islands, water, vegetation, low-carbon materials. The city is conceived as an ecosystem of public health, soft mobility and distributed services. Tension: attractive density vs. quality of life and risks.
Index 4.15 Impact: 5 Diffusion: 4 Novelty: 3
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Long-term — impact beyond 7 years Communities Real estate Mobility
Infrastructure MT-39
Sovereign cloud & carbon neutrality Digital needs are growing, while climate requirements are getting tougher. The cloud must be both sober, efficient and compliant. PUE, water, energy and localization commitments become decisive. Tension: performance vs. sustainability.
Index 4.15 Impact: 5 Diffusion: 4 Novelty: 3
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Mid-term — impact within 3–7 years Cloud SaaS Public sector
Environment MT-42
Climate adaptation & territorial resilience Climate impacts are intensifying: heat waves, floods, droughts. Adaptation is becoming a structuring agenda for public policy and private investment. Territories are moving from reaction to risk and service planning. Tension: territorial equity vs. costs and priorities.
Index 4.15 Impact: 5 Diffusion: 4 Novelty: 3
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Long-term — impact beyond 7 years Collectivities Health Insurance
Environment MT-44
Water & critical resource management Water pressure is increasing under the combined effect of climate, urbanization and industry. Water is becoming as strategic an asset as energy. Investments are focused on circularity, reuse and groundwater recharge. Tension: arbitration between domestic, agricultural and industrial uses.
Index 4.15 Impact: 5 Diffusion: 4 Novelty: 3
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Long-term — impact beyond 7 years Agriculture Industry Cities
Geopolitics MT-63
Climate diplomacy & carbon clubs Climate alliances are taking shape (carbon adjustments at borders, standards clubs). Trade policy is becoming greener and influencing industrial location. Tension: North-South equity vs. climate efficiency.
Index 4.15 Impact: 5 Diffusion: 4 Novelty: 3
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Mid-term — impact within 3–7 years Industry Energy Transportation
Geopolitics MT-64
Food security & strategic corridors Conflict, climate and logistical volatility threaten food security. Protected corridors, buffer stocks and diversification of sources are becoming essential. Tension: low prices vs. secure access.
Index 4.15 Impact: 5 Diffusion: 4 Novelty: 3
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Mid-term — impact within 3–7 years Agro Trade Logistics
Geopolitics MT-65
Cross-border data governance & digital trust Data flows are becoming a major diplomatic issue: location, transfers, judicial access, security. Regional frameworks are converging through equivalence and contractual clauses. Companies must prove compliance and minimization. Tension: free circulation vs. sovereignty and privacy.
Index 4.15 Impact: 5 Diffusion: 4 Novelty: 3
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Short-term — impact within 1–3 years Finance Health Platforms
Society MT-6
New social times & flexible lifestyles Time is fragmented between hybrid work, family care, continuing education and modulated leisure. Organizations are adopting the pace of life as a competitive variable. Cities and services are reconfigured around real-time availability. Tension: productivity vs. the right to time.
Index 4.10 Impact: 4 Diffusion: 5 Novelty: 3
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Mid-term — impact within 3–7 years HR Culture Urban services
Economy MT-11
Circular economy & right to repair Resource scarcity and regulatory requirements are shifting the focus of value to durability of use. Repair, reconditioning and traceability are becoming economic and cultural pillars. Brands are internalizing second-life marketplaces and designing for disassembly. Tension: short-term margins vs. LTV and proof of impact.
Index 4.10 Impact: 4 Diffusion: 5 Novelty: 3
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Mid-term — impact within 3–7 years Electronics Appliances Cars
Economy MT-15
Impact consumption & virtue measurement Reputation is now built on consistency between promise, performance and proof. ESG metrics are becoming clearer to the general public and are influencing the marketing mix. Labels, ratings and citizen audits structure trust. Tension: sincere transparency vs. opportunism.
Index 4.10 Impact: 4 Diffusion: 5 Novelty: 3
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Mid-term — impact within 3–7 years Retail Finance Agro
Tech & Data MT-23
Hyper-automation & intelligent orchestration Combining AI, RPA and iPaaS to automate not just tasks but entire processes. Orchestration platforms become the central nerve of operations. Human capital focuses on exception, quality and continuous improvement. Tension: technical debt vs. scalability.
Index 4.10 Impact: 4 Diffusion: 5 Novelty: 3
Maturity: Established — widely recognized, integrated into mainstream Horizon: Short-term — impact within 1–3 years Operations Services Industry
Economy MT-17
Digital currencies & financial sovereignty Central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) and instant payment rails are reconfiguring the access, cost and traceability of transactions. Confidentiality and interoperability are becoming key issues. Tension: financial inclusion vs. surveillance.
Index 4.05 Impact: 5 Diffusion: 3 Novelty: 4
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Mid-term — impact within 3–7 years Banking Payments Retail
Tech & Data MT-27
Compute power & computing sovereignty Demand for computing is exploding with AI and simulation. Controlling capacity, energy costs and location is becoming strategic. Hybrid architectures (edge+regions) reduce latency and geopolitical risk. Tension: energy/water footprint vs. acceleration of innovation.
Index 4.05 Impact: 5 Diffusion: 3 Novelty: 4
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Mid-term — impact within 3–7 years Cloud Telecom Research
Environment MT-47
Regenerative agriculture & food sovereignty Food systems are under pressure: climate, soil, water, biodiversity, nutrition. Agricultural regeneration improves resilience and quality while reducing the footprint. Commodity chains are organizing around transition and proof contracts. Tension: access price vs. transformation of practices.
Index 4.05 Impact: 5 Diffusion: 3 Novelty: 4
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Long-term — impact beyond 7 years Agro Food Distribution
Society MT-3
Recomposing families & multiple parenthood Family configurations are diversifying (single-parent, blended, same-sex). Equality in the workplace and mental workloads call into question working hours, services and rights. Public policies adapt to mobility, co-guardians and caregivers. Education, housing and insurance markets reconfigure. Tension: universal protection vs. personalization of rights.
Index 4.00 Impact: 4 Diffusion: 4 Novelty: 4
Maturity: Emerging — early signals, not yet widely adopted Horizon: Mid-term — impact within 3–7 years Insurance Education Real estate
Society MT-5
Hybridizing identities & the quest for authenticity Personal and collective identities hybridize between multiple belongings, physical and digital spaces. Brands, institutions and media are called upon to be authentic, consistent and transparent. Self-representation becomes an arena for social negotiation. Tension: freedom of expression vs. security and respect.
Index 4.00 Impact: 4 Diffusion: 4 Novelty: 4
Maturity: Emerging — early signals, not yet widely adopted Horizon: Short-term — impact within 1–3 years Media Platforms Brands
Tech & Data MT-25
Conversational interfaces & cognitive multimodality Voice, image and gesture combine to form natural interfaces. Systems understand intentions and contexts, reducing user friction. Accessibility progresses and screens become secondary media once again. Tension: intuitive simplicity vs. fine-grained control.
Index 4.00 Impact: 4 Diffusion: 4 Novelty: 4
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Short-term — impact within 1–3 years Electronics Services Health
Culture MT-50
Hybrid culture & phygital experiences Creation moves between physical stages and digital spaces: augmented live performances, immersive exhibitions, digital collectibles. The public-art relationship becomes interactive and measurable. Institutions adopt itinerant, co-creative and accessible formats. Tension: useful wonder vs. gadget inflation.
Index 4.00 Impact: 4 Diffusion: 4 Novelty: 4
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Short-term — impact within 1–3 years Museums Performing arts Education
Culture MT-56
Aesthetics of proof & culture of measurement Proof becomes a cultural language: public visualizations, impact labels, shared indicators. Brands and institutions assume the auditability of their narratives. Tension: methodological complexity vs. public readability.
Index 4.00 Impact: 4 Diffusion: 4 Novelty: 4
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Short-term — impact within 1–3 years Media Culture Public sector
Infrastructure MT-40
Orbital economy & space sovereignty Low Earth orbit becomes an economic space: launch, in-orbit services, manufacturing, observation. Nations and regions seek sovereignty of access and services. Orbital sustainability and security become determining factors. Tension: commercial competition vs. common governance.
Index 3.95 Impact: 5 Diffusion: 2 Novelty: 5
Maturity: Emerging — early signals, not yet widely adopted Horizon: Long-term — impact beyond 7 years Space Defense Telecom
Economy MT-20
Economy of the commons & contributory value Faced with the limits of private and public goods, the commons (data, knowledge, resources) are emerging as a third way of creating value. Shared governance and open licenses foster innovation and equity. Tension: sustainability of models vs. perceived gratuity.
Index 3.90 Impact: 4 Diffusion: 3 Novelty: 5
Maturity: Emerging — early signals, not yet widely adopted Horizon: Long-term — impact beyond 7 years Culture Education Tech
Tech & Data MT-29
Mixed reality & sensory continuity The fusion of the physical and digital worlds creates useful immersive experiences: training, maintenance, sales, culture. Sensors and spatialization enable continuity of use between places, objects and stories. Tension: useful wonder vs. gadgetry.
Index 3.90 Impact: 4 Diffusion: 3 Novelty: 5
Maturity: Emerging — early signals, not yet widely adopted Horizon: Mid-term — impact within 3–7 years Industry Education Retail
Tech & Data MT-30
Digital empathy & emotional interfaces Systems perceive voice, face, rhythm and context to adapt interaction. The objective shifts from raw efficiency to relational quality and dignity of use. Ethical safeguards become indispensable to avoid manipulation and discrimination. Tension: sensitive personalization vs. intrusion.
Index 3.90 Impact: 4 Diffusion: 3 Novelty: 5
Maturity: Emerging — early signals, not yet widely adopted Horizon: Short-term — impact within 1–3 years Customer service Health Education
Infrastructure MT-37
Satellisation & planetary observation Constellations, observation and connectivity extend our knowledge of earth systems and value chains. Space data becomes a resource for climate, agriculture, security and logistics. Tension: sovereignty and orbital debris.
Index 3.90 Impact: 4 Diffusion: 3 Novelty: 5
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Long-term — impact beyond 7 years Agriculture Climate Safety
Culture MT-52
Collective intelligence & contributive culture Co-creation moves from symbolic participation to structured contribution: open tools, platforms, clear licenses. Communities become co-producers of knowledge, stories and solutions. Tension: quality/reliability vs. openness.
Index 3.90 Impact: 4 Diffusion: 3 Novelty: 5
Maturity: Emerging — early signals, not yet widely adopted Horizon: Mid-term — impact within 3–7 years Education Culture Research
Culture MT-53
Emotional ethics & cultural responsibility The economy of attention is shifting towards an economy of emotions. Institutions and brands assume responsibility for the affects they mobilize. Slowness, silence and care become elements of language. Tension: persuasive effectiveness vs. public dignity.
Index 3.90 Impact: 4 Diffusion: 3 Novelty: 5
Maturity: Emerging — early signals, not yet widely adopted Horizon: Short-term — impact within 1–3 years Media Culture Advertising
Economy MT-14
Structural inflation & trade-offs Price volatility is becoming a constant. Households arbitrate not only on price, but also on the perceived value of meaning and utility. Brands segment by essential functions, durability and service. Tension: accessibility vs. enriched value proposition.
Index 3.85 Impact: 4 Diffusion: 5 Novelty: 2
Maturity: Established — widely recognized, integrated into mainstream Horizon: Short-term — impact within 1–3 years Retail Energy Mobility
Infrastructure MT-34
Industrial sovereignty & selective relocation Geopolitical and climatic tensions are driving the relocation of critical links. The aim is not autarky, but resilience through diversification, standardization and regional cooperation. Tension: short-term cost vs. long-term security.
Index 3.80 Impact: 5 Diffusion: 3 Novelty: 3
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Long-term — impact beyond 7 years Industry Energy Health
Economy MT-13
Adding value to local products & smart short circuits Local is becoming a trusted response to geopolitical uncertainty and expectations of a smaller footprint. Short circuits are becoming industrialized via data, fine logistics and certifications of origin. Territories become platforms for innovation and resilience. Tension: price/access vs. sovereignty and traceability.
Index 3.75 Impact: 4 Diffusion: 4 Novelty: 3
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Mid-term — impact within 3–7 years Agro Retail Foodservices
Economy MT-18
Platform economics & value redistribution Dependence on large platforms is driving us to reinvent the capture and redistribution of value. New regulations, interoperability and data portability are reconfiguring competition. Tension: innovation vs. contestability.
Index 3.75 Impact: 4 Diffusion: 4 Novelty: 3
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Mid-term — impact within 3–7 years Media Retail Apps
Infrastructure MT-36
Green infrastructure & carbon-free logistics The logistics chain is electrifying, digitizing and moving closer to consumers. Infrastructures are integrating rail, river, urban hubs and low-carbon warehouses. Real-time data and pooling optimize costs and footprint. Tension: high CAPEX vs. systemic benefits.
Index 3.75 Impact: 4 Diffusion: 4 Novelty: 3
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Mid-term — impact within 3–7 years Logistics Retail Industry
Environment MT-45
Fair energy transition & social inclusion The transition cannot succeed without social justice. Tariffs, subsidies and jobs must protect the most vulnerable while accelerating decarbonization. Policies target renovation, mobility and heating. Tension: acceptability vs. speed of transition.
Index 3.75 Impact: 4 Diffusion: 4 Novelty: 3
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Mid-term — impact within 3–7 years Energy Building Mobility
Environment MT-48
Low-carbon materials & industrial sobriety Decarbonizing industry involves lightening, advanced recycling, biomaterials and material efficiency. Specifications are moving towards repairability and modularity. LCA measurement becomes contractual. Tension: initial cost vs. TCO and externalities.
Index 3.75 Impact: 4 Diffusion: 4 Novelty: 3
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Mid-term — impact within 3–7 years Industry Construction Mobility
Culture MT-54
Craft renaissance & sustainable materials In the face of industrial uniformity, craftsmanship is making a comeback as a language of singularity, transmission and low imprint. Short supply chains and care become vectors of desire and trust. Tension: economic scale vs. preservation of know-how.
Index 3.75 Impact: 4 Diffusion: 4 Novelty: 3
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Mid-term — impact within 3–7 years Luxury Design Fashion
Culture MT-57
Shared memories & territorial cultural capital Digitization, living archives and local narratives feed an economy of memory. Heritage becomes a resource for attractiveness, education and innovation. Tension: faithful preservation vs. inclusive rewriting.
Index 3.75 Impact: 4 Diffusion: 4 Novelty: 3
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Mid-term — impact within 3–7 years Culture Education Tourism
Geopolitics MT-62
Technical standards & standardization diplomacy The battle of standards (AI, data, climate, security) conditions markets and dependencies. Players who standardize are gaining ecosystem rents. Participation in forums becomes a strategic issue. Tension: open innovation vs. lock-in.
Index 3.75 Impact: 4 Diffusion: 4 Novelty: 3
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Mid-term — impact within 3–7 years Tech Industry Health
Society MT-7
Participatory democracy & augmented citizenship The demand for participation is growing in the face of mistrust. Digital tools, participatory budgets and citizen conventions are renewing public decision-making. Data becomes a common good under general interest governance. Tension: decision-making efficiency vs. inclusion.
Index 3.65 Impact: 4 Diffusion: 3 Novelty: 4
Maturity: Emerging — early signals, not yet widely adopted Horizon: Mid-term — impact within 3–7 years Public sector Cities Education
Economy MT-12
Sobriety & the value of little Faced with material and attentional saturation, value is rebuilt in edited scarcity and desirable frugality. Consumers are looking for brands that are calm, repairable and traceable. The aesthetics of simplicity become a code of status and ethics. Tension: desirability vs. voluntary limitation.
Index 3.65 Impact: 4 Diffusion: 3 Novelty: 4
Maturity: Emerging — early signals, not yet widely adopted Horizon: Short-term — impact within 1–3 years Luxury Fashion Beauty
Economy MT-16
Attention economy & creative disintermediation Attention-grabbing is reaching its cultural and regulatory limits. Creators and brands are looking for direct, noise-free relationships. Micro-communities and subscriptions are becoming the dominant formats. Tension: monetization vs. relational quality.
Index 3.65 Impact: 4 Diffusion: 3 Novelty: 4
Maturity: Emerging — early signals, not yet widely adopted Horizon: Short-term — impact within 1–3 years Media Culture Brands
Economy MT-19
Sustainable luxury & after-wear Luxury is migrating towards an aesthetic of responsibility, repair and controlled time. Status codes become silent, traceable and emotionally perennial. Houses move from selling objects to curating relationships. Tension: scarcity and cultural accessibility.
Index 3.65 Impact: 4 Diffusion: 3 Novelty: 4
Maturity: Emerging — early signals, not yet widely adopted Horizon: Short-term — impact within 1–3 years Luxury Fashion Beauty
Tech & Data MT-28
Data for Good & social impact indicators Data is mobilized to solve public problems: health, climate, inclusion. Multi-stakeholder partnerships are emerging around open platforms and impact standards. The challenge lies in the quality, ethics and sustainability of these initiatives. Tension: collective utility vs. risks of surveillance.
Index 3.65 Impact: 4 Diffusion: 3 Novelty: 4
Maturity: Emerging — early signals, not yet widely adopted Horizon: Mid-term — impact within 3–7 years Health Cities Climate
Infrastructure MT-35
Hydrogen & transition energies Low-carbon hydrogen is positioned for uses that are difficult to electrify (industry, heavy mobility). Challenges include cost, infrastructure and safety. Regional hubs and long-term contracts structure the ramp-up. Tension: systemic promise vs. industry realities.
Index 3.65 Impact: 4 Diffusion: 3 Novelty: 4
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Mid-term — impact within 3–7 years Industry Logistics Energy
Environment MT-46
Carbon sequestration & capture markets Net-zero trajectories imply increasing volumes of natural and technological sequestration. Markets are evolving towards higher-quality, traceable and sustainable credits. MRV, additionality and permanence become non-negotiable. Tension: integrity vs. sufficient supply.
Index 3.65 Impact: 4 Diffusion: 3 Novelty: 4
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Long-term — impact beyond 7 years Energy Industry Finance
Infrastructure MT-38
Quantum networks & post-classical security The transition to post-quantum requires new cryptographic standards, while the first QKD links are emerging. Migration must be gradual, coordinated and verifiable. Tension: security urgency vs. technological maturity.
Index 3.55 Impact: 4 Diffusion: 2 Novelty: 5
Maturity: Emerging — early signals, not yet widely adopted Horizon: Long-term — impact beyond 7 years Finance Defense Telecom
Culture MT-55
Technospirituality & collective reenchantment In a world saturated with signals, a quest for meaning is emerging, combining technologies, rituals and personal ecologies. Cultural experiences seek elevation rather than distraction. Tension: secular spirituality vs. commodification of the sacred.
Index 3.50 Impact: 3 Diffusion: 3 Novelty: 5
Maturity: Emerging — early signals, not yet widely adopted Horizon: Mid-term — impact within 3–7 years Culture Education Health
Society MT-4
Generational inclusion & age equity The demographic shock is forcing new compromises between generations. Taxation, pensions, housing and employment are becoming areas of collective bargaining. Organizations seek to combine junior/senior skills. Inter-age justice becomes an indicator of democratic stability. Tension: budgetary trade-offs vs. social investment.
Index 3.40 Impact: 4 Diffusion: 3 Novelty: 3
Maturity: Developing — growing momentum, expanding across sectors Horizon: Long-term — impact beyond 7 years HR Real estate Insurance